Looking at my stats from last year's post, the longest film was more than twice as likely to win the Oscar (at 43%) than it would be by chance (20%). In other words, nearly every other "Best Edited" film is also the longest. This is way more than should be expected by chance and I seemed to really be on to something. Of course, last year the Academy snubbed me by letting a much shorter film win. But I don't yet feel discredited. The Academy will surely revert back to the mean soon.
Taking the length of each with data from Oscar.com and IMDB.com, we see the following for this year's films:
- American Hustle (138 minutes) -- Should win the Oscar!
- Captain Phillips and 12 Years a Slave (tie at 134 minutes)
- Dallas Buyer's Club (117 minutes)
- Gravity (91 minutes)
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Last year I opened up to the world about the hypothesis that that longest film every years appears to win the Oscar for Best Film Editing every year. Maybe the Academy Awards were respecting the film with minimal measure of altering. That has never appeared acceptable to me however I had no one to tell. As of not long ago.
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